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Were 2024 Election Polls Wrong? Pollsters Give Verdicts
These may not be the best numbers, but they are below average errors, i.e., as I suggested previously, the average error in the last week's national polls for all presidential elections between 1952 and 2020 is 2.5 points, and it is larger still in the states.
Opinion
Did Election Polls Get it Wrong Again?
Pollsters always said it would be close, and that either candidate could win every swing state. That’s exactly what happened.
Did the US election polls fail?
For much of the
2024
US presidential campaign,
polls
and pundits rated the race too close to call. Then Donald Trump delivered a commanding victory over Kamala Harris, winning at least five battleground states, and performing unexpectedly well in other places.
Will There Be a Recount of the 2024 Presidential Election Results?
There is unlikely to be a recount of the 2024 race, although some states trigger an automatic recount if the final tally is close.
5h
on MSN
2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump
That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, ...
2d
on MSN
Exit polls from the 2024 presidential election
See how various groups across the country voted in the 2024 presidential election by reviewing data from the network exit ...
2d
on MSN
2024 voting: Here's when polls close for all 50 states on Election Day
Polls cross the country will remain open until at least the early evening local time as Americans cast their ballots on ...
2d
Early Results Suggest the Polls Were Notably Accurate
Collectively they indicated that the presidential race would be close, and it appears they got it right without significantly ...
USA TODAY on MSN
2d
What's happening at the polls across America? Voters speak of high hopes, dread.
Voting groups have been surveyed and polled all year, parsed by political party, state, race, religion and education level.
ABC News on MSN
2d
Exit polls 2024: Deep economic discontent with Biden drove voters to Trump
Nationally, the share of people saying they've gotten worse off under the current administration (45%) is the highest in ...
2d
Why Exit Polls Are Misleading
Exit polls don’t have a very good track record, and they can contribute to misleading narratives on election night.
Intelligencer on MSN
2d
What the Harris vs. Trump Polls Got Wrong
The polls weren’t off that much in capturing a near-uniform swing in very close states. But they underestimated the Trump ...
ABC News on MSN
2d
Exit polls 2024: How the gender gap is playing out in key swing states
The gender gap is considered a key factor in the presidential race. Preliminary exit polls results provide some insight into ...
2d
on MSN
Electoral College Map Forecast: Three Different Projections Based on Polls
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Joe Biden triumphed in 2020 with 306 votes by winning ...
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2024 U.S. Elections
The latest news on national races.
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Related topics
Donald Trump
United States presidential election
Kamala Harris
White House
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