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UBS gives America a recession check-up and sees a 93% probability from the hard data, with a ‘soggy’ economy ahead

There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup, or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of ...
Seeking Alpha

Probability of a 'hard recession' is 10% - ABP Invest

Thanos Papasavvas, founder and CIO at ABP Invest, estimated Monday that the probability of a "hard recession" is limited, standing at around 10%. In addition, Papasavvas argued that the improvement in ...
Reuters

"Meaningful probability" of a China hard landing: Roubini

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - China faces a "meaningful probability" of a hard economic landing and the euro zone is storing up problems for the future by not tackling the debt crisis head on, said Nouriel ...
Wall Street Journal

New York Fed Model Sees High Probability of Hard Landing for Economy

The U.S. economy is very likely on a path to shrink this year and next, a Federal Reserve Bank of New York report said on Friday. According to how the New York Fed ...