Prediction markets thrived, Elon got his wish, Facebook sat out, podcasts dominated and Silicon Valley mattered. The post ...

These charts show how our forecast has changed over the course of the night. As a rule, when the electoral vote estimate is ...

This week’s presidential election introduced a lot of people to prediction markets. Kalshi was the number one app in the App ...

Arizona election results are full of intriguing messages. Here's what they mean and what we're looking for next, especially ...

2024 Robins added that it is a “different framework” for prediction markets, which offer bettors the chance to wager on U.S.

The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to ...

Election predictor Allan Lichtman's success rate is now at 81.8%.

Donald Trump is preparing for his presidential transition after winning the election against Vice President Kamala Harris.

An unexpected winner emerged from the 2024 U.S. presidential race: Election betting. Traders have been glued to prices of election contracts on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Activity surged ...

The basic theory behind prediction markets is that ... The presidential election was a popular market, but there are plenty ...

Lichtman, a historian known for his predictions of presidential elections and who expected a Kamala Harris victory, is ...

The public opinion polls said Tuesday’s presidential election would be a nailbiter. But it looked a lot different at online prediction markets where people bet real money on the outcome. Markets such ...