Negotiations have stalled ahead of next week’s deadline, with some suggesting Japan misjudged the depth of President Trump’s frustration over Tokyo’s policies.

He said Japan could face a tariff of 30 to 35 percent if no deal is made, higher than the 24 percent reciprocal tariff Trump had originally imposed, and then paused, in early April. The tariff pause ends on July 9, though Trump has touted flexibility on the deadline.

Japan's Prime Minister and Liberal Democratic Party President Shigeru Ishiba speaks during a debate with leaders of other political parties at the Japan National Press Club in Tokyo, Japan, July 2, 2025.